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Andy Martin on the “Myth of the Two Democrats” for president

February 20, 2008

ANDY MARTIN
Executive Editor
ContrarianCommentary.com

“Factually Correct, Not
Politically Correct”

BARACK OBAMA AND THE MYTH OF THE “TWO DEMOCRATS”

WHY CLINTON GOES TO THE CONVENTION

OBAMA WEEK, 2008: PART ONE

(CHICAGO)(February 20, 2008) One of the conceits and condescensions of the Democratic Party and its cable TV cabal during the primary season has been that the Democrats have “two candidates” who are broadly acceptable to the Democratic base, while the Republicans have a front runner who is rejected by at least some of the Republicans’ core constituency. The fallacy of the Democrats’ belief may soon be exposed.

It is undeniably true that both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are, broadly speaking, acceptable candidates for most Democrats. How could it be otherwise? They have virtually identical views on the issues. Despite their “differences,” the commonalities are overwhelming.

But the idea that Clinton and Obama are interchangeable candidates as presidential nominees is utterly wrong.

I began writing about Obama four years ago. I never expected to be writing about him four years later. OK, so what.

As the primary season moved into high gear I expected to efface myself, as the mainstream media (MSM) took over the job of questioning Obama and vetting his credentials. That hasn’t happened. MSNBC, for example, has become an Obama foghorn.

The “chatter” I receive tells me two things: (1) MSM have not played the role they should have; (2) “Clinton” Democrats are not necessarily going to line up behind Obama when McCain is the Republican option.

In 2007 ContrarianCommentary.com sponsored “Obama Week,” in which we devoted a great deal of analysis to studying Obama’s qualifications and character. By popular demand we are now back with a 2008 version.

Obama & Co. have misinterpreted the mentality of the Republican Party. It is true that some talk show host cry babies have sought to agitate their audience by denigrating Senator John McCain and attacking him for old controversies. But in the long run the Republican Party is not run by talk show hosts, it is run from a pragmatic center that is focused on the work at hand, to win elections. In any and every election there will always be some members of one party that will migrate to the other organization. Rarely has this tendency been anything more than window dressing (Democrats for Nixon, anyone?)

Based on what I am receiving and seeing—because ContrarianCommentary.com is not only a news and opinion-producing organization, it is a news and opinion-receiving operation, many Clinton Democrats will vote for McCain in November.

If anyone doubts my thesis they need look no further than the New York Post for confirmation that my views are correct.

A Sienna College Survey found Senator McCain within striking distance of the democrats in New York State. See:
http://www.nypost.com/seven/02192008/news/regionalnews/true_blue_is_purple_98270.htm

In New York?

Obviously, McCain is not the “old man” that Obama ridicules. McCain is drawing “Reagan Democrats,” already. Even before Hillary is rejected (not to say that she will be). So who were the Reagan Democrats? Less educated, lower wage, Roman Catholics. According to pollsters yesterday, what has been Hillary’s final “base?” Less educated, lower wage, Roman Catholics. In other words, Reagan Democrats have stayed with Clinton.

Where do these voters go if Clinton is rejected? The vast majority of them will go to McCain, not to the brie-and-Chablis Obama campaign.

As I told someone yesterday, the “Democratic Party has been having a conversation with itself; the real world will intrude on the day that the party’s nominee has to start having a conversation with the American People.”

Are Clinton and Obama interchangeable nominees? Not at all.

You read it here first. ContrarianCommentary.com

Bottom line: buyer’s remorse among Democrats will set in the day primaries end and Obama claims a majority of the “pledged” delegates. Pledged to what? Defeat in November?

My advice to Hillary? Honey, talk it up. Tough it out. Take it to the convention. And tell it like it is. And start doing this tomorrow. Not on March 5th.

PART TWO (February 21): AFFIRMATIVE ACTION BABIES RISE UP-AND BITE THE HAND THAT FED THEM; THE TRUE MEANING OF MICHELE OBAMA’S OUTBURST

PART THREE (February 22): BARACK OBAMA AND THE RACE CARD; WHOSE CARD IS IT REALLY?

——————————————
Chicago-based Internet journalist, broadcaster and media critic Andy Martin is the Executive Editor and publisher of http://www.ContrarianCommentary.com. © Copyright by Andy Martin 2008. Martin covers regional, national and world events with over forty years of experience. He has been a candidate for U. S. Senator from Illinois. http://www.AndyforUSSenator.com. He holds a Juris Doctor degree from the University of Illinois College of Law. Columns also posted at ContrarianCommentary.blogspot.com; contrariancommentary.wordpress.com. Comments? E-mail: AndyMart20@aol.com. Media contact: (866) 706-2639. Web sites: ContrarianCommentary.com.

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